Archive for July 21st, 2022
A strange juxtaposition
At one point while wandering along Bull Creek on July 12th I looked down and saw this note on the ground. Whoever wrote it had a hard time with the last word, which was apparently supposed to be fulfilling. The little plant adjacent to the note is poison ivy, Toxicodendron radicans, which very few people find fulfilling. Only once before, if I remember right, have I posted a picture of a hand-printed message. It was in 2016, and upon looking back at it now I was surprised to notice that the writer of that earlier message also had a hard time spelling its final word—and only its final word. A weird coincidence, don’t you think?
In 2016 the message was on a light pole and therefore we assume whoever wrote it wanted people to see it. Do you think that was true for this month’s note, too, or had the writer accidentally dropped it and not noticed that it stayed behind on the ground?
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CNN reported on June 30th that 85% of US adults who responded to an AP-NORC survey said that things in the country are headed in the wrong direction. It’s something that polls often ask about, but it’s not nearly as useful a question as it could be. That’s because the country is heavily polarized, and many respondents were presumably unhappy with the country’s direction for opposite reasons. Pollsters would do much better to solicit more than just a yes-or-no answer about being content with the country’s direction. For instance, people who say they’re discontent could be asked to tell what specific things about the country’s direction they’re discontent with, and the pollsters could then group the reasons into categories when reporting the results. If the pollsters don’t want to do that much work, they could ask the question in multiple-choice format. Here’s an example:
We’d like to know how you feel about the direction the country is headed in.
Which of these best describes your feelings?a) The country is headed in a generally good direction.
b) The country is moving a little too far to the left (progressive), politically speaking.
c) The country is moving a lot too far to the left (progressive), politically speaking.
d) The country is moving a little too far to the right (conservative), politically speaking.
e) The country is moving a lot too far to the right (conservative), politically speaking.
f) None of the above is the reason I’m discontent with the country’s direction.
What do you think the chances are that polling companies will adopt my approach?
- The people who run polling companies will swoon at my feet and make me their polling god.
- I’ll have to live to be 100 before polling companies follow such a good suggestion.
- Somebody dropped a zero: I’ll have to live to be 1000 before polling companies follow such a good suggestion.
© 2022 Steven Schwartzman